A dozen Republicans are campaigning to secure their party’s nomination in next year’s presidential election. But the race between them is not remotely close, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll that was released today. Donald Trump leads his next closest challenger, Ron DeSantis, by 37 percentage points. No other candidate topped 3 percent.

Trump’s primary support — 54 percent of the likely voters polled — is decisive across almost every demographic group, geographic region and ideological wing of the party. He leads by wide margins among men and women, younger and older voters, moderates and conservatives, those who went to college and those who didn’t.

The race is still in its early days. And no leading presidential candidate has ever faced the kind of federal and state charges that Trump currently does. But as our chief political analyst Nate Cohn wrote, no candidate in modern history has lost a primary after leading at this point by 20 percentage points.

Trump’s lead is thanks in large part to what Nate calls his MAGA base, which represents roughly 37 percent of the Republican electorate and is exceptionally loyal to Trump. Not one member of that group said he had committed serious federal crimes, and a mere 2 percent said he had done “something wrong” in his handling of classified documents.

“The MAGA base doesn’t support Mr. Trump in spite of his flaws,” Nate said. “It supports him because it doesn’t seem to believe he has flaws.”

DeSantis: Florida’s governor earned only 9 percent support among voters who are at least 65 years old, an ominous sign.

For more: Trump’s advantage over DeSantis almost exactly mirrors the share of the party that said he is more “fun.” His reputation as an entertainer has long been a major asset.

A desperate race to save Florida’s coral

Water temperatures off the coast of South Florida have reached as high as 101 degrees this month, causing the worst coral bleaching in the state’s history.

Many people who’ve devoted their careers to protecting coral are now racing to get it out of the water as heat devastates large sections of reef.

Divers have fanned out across the region, collecting two fragments of each type of coral to store in gene banks. It’s a “last-ditch sort of insurance policy,” said the effort’s coordinator. “God forbid everything dies in the water, we still have not lost those individuals.”

In the Southwest, Phoenix has hit at least 110 degrees for 31 straight days. Temperatures there are expected to moderate but remain dangerously high.

Ukraine’s president hinted at more strikes in Russia

Russian attacks today killed six people in Kryvyi Rih, Ukraine, the hometown of President Volodymyr Zelensky.

The strikes followed a warning from Zelensky that attacks in Russia would ramp up. “Gradually, the war is returning to the territory of Russia — to its symbolic centers and military bases,” Zelensky said in his nightly address yesterday.

A Times analysis showed that at least three different Ukrainian-made drones have been used in attacks inside Russia, including against Moscow.

Paul Reubens, Pee-wee Herman’s creator, died at 70

With his bow tie, short drainpipe pants and flattop hairdo, the comic actor Paul Reubens became a movie and television sensation in the 1980s through his childlike alter ego, Pee-wee Herman. He died yesterday in Los Angeles, following what his representative described as a private yearslong fight with cancer. He was 70.

For more: The Times last profiled Reubens in 2016, when he finally returned to playing Herman.

More top news

Disney’s box office flops pile up

Moviegoers have proved eager to return to theaters this summer, with “Barbie” now topping $750 million in sales worldwide. Yet last weekend’s release of “Haunted Mansion” marked another major box office disappointment for Disney.

The film joined a growing list of expensive Disney movies that failed to live up to expectations this year, including “Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania,” “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” and “The Little Mermaid.” “Haunted Mansion” was sideswiped by the actors’ strike, which bans stars from promoting movies, but it also received poor reviews.

Now Disney appears poised to shake things up: Robert Iger, its chief executive, has reportedly brought in two former heirs apparent, Kevin Mayer and Thomas Staggs, to advise on the company’s future.

A crucial match for the Americans

In the wee hours of our Tuesday morning stateside, the U.S. national team will play its final group stage game of the Women’s World Cup in Auckland, New Zealand. With a win or a draw, the Americans will advance to the next round; but a loss could end their hopes for a third straight title.

This year’s tournament has highlighted the rise of women’s soccer worldwide. But the sport’s increasing demands fail to mesh with motherhood — a challenging reality for several American players, including Julie Ertz and Alex Morgan.

Who gets all the comic books?

Collectibles like baseball cards, stamps and comic books can be of great value — a rare Pokémon card sold for $300,000 this year, and a Super Mario 64 game recently went for $1.5 million. And many enthusiasts want to leave their lifelong collections to the people they love.

But families often struggle with what to do with them after the collector dies. Sometimes, the relatives don’t know how to care for the items, or they simply offload them to a pawnshop where they may only return a fraction of their value. “More times than I can remember, a spouse or child has said to me, ‘If he wasn’t dead, I’d kill him all over again for leaving me with this mess,’” an auction house president said.

Have a treasured evening.

Thanks for reading. I’ll be back tomorrow. — Matthew

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