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The biggest college football matchup of Week 1 is tonight as the LSU Tigers take on the Florida State Seminoles. Our expert likes one team to cover the short spread.

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LSU vs. Florida State pick

In a matchup where both rosters boast an abundance of prospective professional players, there is a limited number of uncertainties.

LSU commences the 2023 season with a significantly clearer offensive identity compared to the previous year. The spotlight falls on their offensive line as they confront Florida State’s formidable defensive front seven. LSU’s initial approach revolves around executing inside zone plays to secure crucial yardage and sustain their drives.

The primary concern within the Florida State defense pertains to their performance in scoring positions. In the previous season, the Seminoles witnessed a decline from the 29th to the 91st position in Finishing Drives, permitting opponents to amass 4.1 points per opportunity once they crossed the 40-yard line.

Florida State also struggled in terms of hard stops and first-down defense, falling outside the top 40 rankings last year. Should LSU’s Daniels succeed in achieving the necessary line yards through inside zone plays, it sets the stage for methodical scoring drives.

LSU, on the other hand, grapples with uncertainties related to the efficiency and experience of their secondary players.

While Zy Alexander exemplifies the ideal cornerback capable of isolating wide receivers, the nickel and safety combination of Major Burns and Sage Ryan recorded just seven incompletions out of 51 targets in 2022. These players are anticipated to provide support to Chestnut in containing the 6-foot-7 Wilson, Florida State’s prominent wide receiver.

As per The Action Network’s projection, this game is assessed as a pure pick’em, presenting value on either side of the matchup.

Considering Florida State’s enhanced ability to advance the ball downfield during passing plays against LSU’s secondary, the favorable option is to back the Seminoles to cover and potentially secure a victory for the ACC.

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